Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.090430 1.313265 1.594671 1.986274 2.534830 3.306281 4.536421
2026-01-11 0.787678 1.032945 1.387661 1.972990 2.999373 4.947305 9.778746
2026-01-18 0.621789 0.857143 1.226881 1.909949 3.324142 6.802095 20.996859
2026-01-25 0.533733 0.764962 1.153132 1.942649 3.850510 10.057798 64.351360
2026-02-01 0.478481 0.708736 1.118142 2.027307 4.589396 16.172521 582.093478
2026-02-08 0.427017 0.647118 1.054697 2.020447 5.096617 24.112395 NaN
2026-02-15 0.381526 0.587536 0.980232 1.956196 5.377193 33.599970 NaN
2026-02-22 0.356518 0.560471 0.964191 2.034031 6.335580 65.690735 NaN
2026-03-01 0.330310 0.527026 0.927267 2.040287 7.037955 126.873898 NaN
2026-03-08 0.304029 0.489934 0.875266 1.983170 7.374982 228.958823 NaN
2026-03-15 0.283543 0.461645 0.838036 1.959360 7.929625 587.652958 NaN
2026-03-22 0.276095 0.458106 0.856887 2.128545 10.280448 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.264330 0.444736 0.850782 2.215390 12.455106 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.249512 0.423469 0.821690 2.206093 13.794768 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.233803 0.398807 0.780275 2.133228 14.253302 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.223961 0.385695 0.766736 2.171894 16.649706 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.217061 0.378197 0.766744 2.271660 21.076182 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.207299 0.363488 0.744936 2.263579 23.610860 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.196410 0.345411 0.711472 2.187890 24.186106 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.191193 0.339574 0.711479 2.279608 31.235763 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.184099 0.328889 0.696140 2.286991 36.195882 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.175703 0.314632 0.668724 2.219644 37.399770 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.168884 0.303556 0.649452 2.191613 41.021074 NaN NaN